Crude prices have moved higher at a time when semiconductor and artificial-intelligence stocks are facing renewed headwinds, with appetite among investors for those assets having eased. Shares in SpaceX have lost roughly 12% of their value over the past week, with the price remaining below where the stock entered the market at its June 13 float. Mounting expenses and a retreat in equity values have left many investors adopting a more cautious outlook on the market.
September's industrial output reading for the US came in at a 2.2% gain, topping both the 1.6% recorded the previous month and the figure analysts had anticipated. Business equipment posted a 6.7% advance — driven largely by data centre construction activity — and that category alone accounted for a notable portion of the broader overall gain. Output from consumer goods manufacturing came in 0.1% beneath the equivalent period a year earlier — a category that encompasses vehicles — while both the construction and mining sectors posted advances.
October's New York Fed services survey found that activity across the sector had pulled back, with participating firms expressing a notably downbeat view of what lay ahead.
Federal accounts for the fiscal year that closed in September put the government's shortfall at $2 trillion. Defence outlays, social spending, and interest payments on accumulated borrowing together outpaced whatever efficiency gains administrative cuts managed to deliver, leaving the budget gap at its widest since the economy was last upended by the pandemic.
At an overnight IMF conference gathering, Federal Reserve Chair Warsh kept the question of a potential interest rate move this month open, offering no indication of the direction policy might take. Inflation data that came in above forecasts left his view of the US economy unchanged, he indicated. Pricing-in of an October policy move diminished among market participants.
Speaking at the Bangkok IMF conference, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda indicated that the country's underlying inflation rate had moved to a level close to the 2% target, and that additional rises in that rate would be unwelcome. Elevated borrowing costs serve as the primary instrument for keeping that outcome at bay.
New-home construction in Canada climbed last month to an annualised pace not recorded since May, coming in ahead of what analysts had forecast. Compared with the prior year's figures, these numbers had retreated from that earlier peak.
Voters in Alberta are set to cast ballots this weekend on a proposal to separate from Canada, with polling and broader sentiment pointing toward the measure being turned down.
Non-oil export volumes out of Singapore climbed 25% between August and September, leaving the monthly total at S$93.2 billion — a figure that stands 68% above the S$61.5 billion recorded in September 2025, with electronics and machinery accounting for much of that upward movement. Shipments traced through Hong Kong pointed to the territory functioning as a transit corridor for AI-related hardware moving toward China. Inbound shipments climbed 48 percent against the same period a year earlier.
Rallies led by youth organisations across India have kept building in number and reach, even as authorities detain figures at the forefront of the movement.
Across Australia's new-home market, the September 2026 quarter brought a 17.5% contraction in sales volume, unwinding the upward momentum that had taken hold during 2025. Purchases of newly built homes dropped to their weakest three-month tally in a year and a half. Figures released across all states pointed in the same direction, with each jurisdiction recording a decline regardless of its scale. Queensland recorded the steepest drop at 26 per cent, while Victoria came in at 23 per cent, New South Wales at 17 per cent, South Australia at 7.6 per cent, and Western Australia at 1.7 per cent. Among the factors put forward were climbing borrowing costs, adjustments to the tax framework, and a broader climate of financial unpredictability.
Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields edged a single basis point higher to land at 5.09%, leaving them 12 basis points below where they stood at the start of the week. Sitting at 5.44%, the 30-year yield has edged higher by 2 basis points on the day, leaving it down a net 16 basis points across the week. The spread between the two-year and ten-year Treasury yields has reached 36 basis points.
China's 10-year government bond yield edged one basis point lower to settle at 1.64%, trimming four basis points across the trading week. Sitting at 2.94% on Thursday, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield edged 2 basis points higher than the session before, though it remained 6 basis points below where it had stood a week earlier. Sitting at 5.26% on Tuesday, the Australian 10-year bond yield added four basis points relative to the previous session, though it has retreated 12 basis points across the course of the week. Sitting at 5.03%, the NZ Government 10-year bond rate ticked 6 basis points higher through the overnight session while shedding those same 6 basis points across the trading week.
The S&P 500 shed 1.2% on the day and has fallen 2.1% across the week, while the Nasdaq posted a steeper daily drop of 2.3%, bringing its weekly loss to 4.5%. Trading in Frankfurt added 0.9% and Paris gained 0.3% during the overnight session.
Over the course of the week, Tokyo's market slipped 4.4%, though Friday's session clawed back 1.4% of that ground. Trading in Hong Kong edged 0.5% higher by the close of Friday's session, leaving the index down around 1% across the full week. Over the course of the week, Shanghai's benchmark index slipped 2.4%, even as Friday's session brought a modest 0.2% uptick. The Singapore market closed with a gain of 0.2 per cent.
Benchmark-exclusion concerns were among the pressures weighing on Jakarta's equity index, which shed roughly 15% of its value across the trading week. Friday's session left the ASX200 index 1.0% higher on the day, bringing its net movement across the week to a 0.8% advance. Heading into the weekend, the NZX50 shed 0.6 per cent on Friday yet closed the full week at roughly the same level it started.
Investor sentiment, as tracked by the Fear and Greed index, has shifted from a neutral reading seven days ago to its lowest-confidence territory.
Gold was trading at US$4,157 an ounce, having gained US$10 on the previous session while still sitting US$39 below where it stood at the start of the week. Priced at roughly US$57 per ounce, silver held steady on the day while shedding US$4 across the trading week. Crude oil trading in the United States moved to just below US$101.50 a barrel, a gain of US$3.50, while the globally tracked Brent benchmark climbed US$4 to reach US$110 a barrel. Seven days prior, those same benchmarks sat at US$91.50 and US$104.50 per barrel — levels that, measured against the most recent figures, reflect a five per cent climb across the trading week. Fuel prices have remained largely unchanged despite the release of oil from strategic reserves.
Over the preceding 24-hour window, vessel movement through the strait held at a modest pace — four ships departed outbound, with three of those tankers travelling under escort, two running without active transponders, while inbound traffic amounted to just a pair of vessels arriving to take on new cargo. Vessel traffic through the waterway off Yemen's coast has held at reduced levels in both directions.
Sitting just beneath the 56.5 US cent mark, the New Zealand dollar has added 40 basis points against its previous session close. Relative to the Australian dollar, the rate has edged up by 20 basis points, landing at 81.4 AUc. Measured against the euro, the currency has gained 30 basis points, placing it at roughly 50.3 euro cents. Opening at roughly 60.3, the TWI-5 has added 30 basis points compared with the previous session and stands 40 basis points higher than where it began the week.
Trading at US$81,247, bitcoin has shed roughly 0.9% against the previous session's close and sits about 1.7% below where it stood at the start of the week. Price swings across the preceding day stayed contained, topping out at roughly 1.2%.