Australia's benchmark sharemarket index recovered from an early deficit to close in positive territory on Thursday, after weaker-than-expected employment data prompted traders to scale back their expectations of a further interest rate rise. By 1:08 p.m. Sydney time, the S&P/ASX 200 had recovered from an earlier retreat, sitting 7.2 points — or 0.08% — higher at 8,735.1.
Trading began on a downward note, with the index retreating up to 0.9% to around 8,654 in the opening session, weighed down by weakness on Wall Street overnight. Trading losses persisted through the morning until government employment data were released at 11:30 a.m., at which point share prices turned upward.
The S&P/ASX 200 had closed at 8,727.9 on Wednesday, a retreat of 56 points representing a 0.64% decline, with pressure from banking, mining, and industrial stocks contributing to the fall.
Publication of the Australian Bureau of Statistics' September labour force data prompted a reversal in market direction, with the figures pointing to easing conditions in employment, notably a pronounced contraction in part-time work. Traders trimmed their positions on a further rate rise from the Reserve Bank of Australia after reviewing the figures. Three-year government bond yields, which track interest-rate expectations closely, retreated seven basis points to 4.8% once the data were released.
When borrowing costs ease, equities — property and banking stocks in particular — tend to draw support from the shift. Hiring conditions have grown noticeably looser at various points across 2026, with the unemployment rate climbing to 4.6% in August, a reading not recorded since November 2021.
The Reserve Bank has delivered four rate increases so far this year as part of an ongoing effort to bring inflation under control, with higher energy costs — tied in part to unrest in the Middle East — among the factors keeping price pressures elevated. The minutes of the central bank's September meeting, released earlier in the week, left the door open to additional rate rises.
At a shareholder meeting on Wednesday, Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief executive Matt Comyn outlined an economic picture in which expansion is losing momentum and price pressures have yet to ease sufficiently, noting that the central bank's target range for inflation is unlikely to be reached until elevated borrowing costs have had more time to filter through the economy.
Labour market indicators pointing toward a softening in hiring conditions leave the Reserve Bank with a potential basis for holding rates steady, while a portion of economists have not dismissed the possibility of a further rise. Forthcoming inflation data will factor into the rate-setting body's deliberations ahead of its next policy announcement.
Technology shares featured among the weaker-performing groups of the trading day, weighed down by losses on the Nasdaq carried over from the prior session. Among those affected, companies running data centre infrastructure absorbed the steepest losses.
Shares in Megaport, Macquarie Technology, and NextDC retreated after CoreWeave — a US-based cloud provider focused on artificial intelligence — posted a roughly 15% decline on Wall Street, putting investor appetite for AI infrastructure stocks back under the spotlight. A buy recommendation on Megaport held firm at Bell Potter, though the associated price target was revised down to A$26.
Shares in the energy sector were positioned to draw a tailwind from crude prices that climbed through the overnight session. Brent crude edged up by 0.4% to settle at $106.09 per barrel, with the US benchmark notching a stronger gain of 1.1%, reaching $95.15.
Gold-sector equities faced headwinds after bullion prices retreated during the overnight session, with shares in Newmont and Northern Star among the gold-sector names drawing trader attention.
Trading on Wall Street turned subdued in the previous session after the US consumer price index placed annual inflation at 3.7% for September, a reading that came in above analyst expectations. Bond yields climbed and technology stocks retreated after the inflation reading exceeded forecasts, feeding market bets that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates again.
Bank of America posted a quarterly profit decline of 17%, with its share price retreating after a $1.2 billion regulatory penalty weighed on the period's results. Shares of ASML traded on the New York exchange dropped 3.9%, even as the chip equipment manufacturer posted its highest-ever sales figures and lifted its forward guidance.
Across the ASX 200, a number of listed companies convened their annual general meetings on Thursday, drawing shareholder attention toward any operational or trading guidance offered on the day. Treasury Wine Estates stock drew attention from traders during the session.
Full-year figures from Bank of Queensland were due for release, with shareholders keeping close watch on the lender's net interest margin, dividend announcement, and any capital management direction following a subdued opening half.
Weekly auction clearance rates across Australia's major metropolitan markets dropped to a level not recorded since June. Borrowing capacity and appetite for home purchases have both pulled back under the strain of higher interest rates, compounding the financial pressure on households already navigating a period of persistently elevated costs.
The Australian dollar held a narrow range near 69.71 US cents without posting any meaningful move. Rate decisions in both Australia and the United States, alongside shifting conditions across energy markets and tensions in the Middle East, remain focal points for market participants.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's earnings, scheduled for release later Thursday, are expected to draw attention from investors watching for any indication of where artificial intelligence demand stands — a reading that carries weight for technology equities around the world.