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  1. Sports
  2. Stephen A. Smith Predicts MLB Salary Cap Is Inevitable Despite Brewers Upsetting Dodgers in NLCS

Stephen A. Smith Predicts MLB Salary Cap Is Inevitable Despite Brewers Upsetting Dodgers in NLCS

ESPN commentator Stephen A. Smith stated on First Take that some form of a salary cap is coming to MLB, citing the large payroll gap between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers as evidence of an unsustainable financial imbalance. With MLB's collective bargaining agreement set to expire on December 1 and owners already proposing a cap and floor, Smith also addressed the risks of a canceled season and baseball's broader cultural standing.

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Published on 2026-10-17 • 3 Minute read

Stephen A. Smith Predicts MLB Salary Cap Is Inevitable Despite Brewers Upsetting Dodgers in NLCS
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An AI-generated image: The financial divide between high-payroll and lower-payroll MLB teams is at the center of ongoing collective bargaining discussions as the December 1 deadline approaches.
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Following Milwaukee's sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Championship Series, ESPN's Stephen A. Smith stated that the outcome does not alter his assessment of where baseball's trajectory is heading. During a segment on First Take with Jessica Mendoza centred on the league's upcoming labour negotiations, Smith opened his remarks with "Let me assure y'all something" before telling the audience that a salary cap of some kind would eventually be put in place.

A salary cap is what the measure is expected to put in place. Smith gave that assurance, then added that the task ahead was not one he viewed as particularly demanding. The arrangement is expected to take the form of some type of spending limit.

Smith cited the statistical divide separating the two NLCS clubs as evidence, noting that such a gap at the organisational level cannot be sustained. Spotrac data cited by Forbes puts the Dodgers' luxury tax payroll at roughly $433 million against Milwaukee's approximately $154.7 million — a gap that Smith described as far too wide, adding that some kind of corrective structure would likely be put in place. The MLB collective bargaining agreement is set to expire on Dec. 1, with owners having already put forward proposals for both a salary cap and a salary floor.

Resistance to any salary cap has been a defining position of the MLB Players Association, and analysts broadly anticipate a work stoppage when the current agreement expires. Mendoza took a more cautious view, arguing that neither party would allow the standoff to wipe out a full season — a calculation that might leave a salary cap off the negotiating table entirely.

Smith urged both sides to proceed with care, contending that a lost season would inflict long-term harm on the sport. He expressed the view that recovery from a cancelled campaign would be nearly unachievable given the range of entertainment alternatives now available to fans, and separately conveyed that audiences have grown weary of baseball holding privileges unavailable to other leagues — pointing specifically to its antitrust exemption and questioning what justifies that standing — while also stating that the sport no longer occupies the central place in American culture it once held.

On the labour side, Smith expressed support for players receiving the highest possible compensation, yet pointed to the pay disparity between established stars and cost-controlled younger players — citing Brewers pitcher Jacob Misiorowski as an example — as evidence that the existing structure distributes financial rewards unevenly.

Milwaukee's path through the postseason bracket delivered the franchise a World Series appearance — a return to that stage not seen since 1982.

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