Quebec Election Poll: PQ Heads Toward Majority as CAQ Support Drops Sharply

A Synopsis-La Presse poll released Sunday shows the Parti Québécois at 30 per cent and moving toward majority government territory in Quebec, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has dropped seven points to 17 per cent. The Quebec Liberals hold second place at 22 per cent, and the Quebec Conservatives have matched the CAQ at 17 per cent. PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads in best-premier polling at 26 per cent. The provincial election is scheduled for October 5, with advance polls open September 27 and 28.

A new poll released during the advance voting period in Quebec indicated that the Parti Québécois could form a majority government, while support for the Coalition Avenir Québec appeared to be declining. According to a Synopsis-La Presse survey published Sunday, the CAQ's voter support fell seven percentage points to 17 per cent, while the PQ rose two points to 30 per cent. The Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ), under Éric Duhaime's leadership, gained three percentage points in polling, bringing the party to 17 per cent and matching the CAQ's standing following a period of upward movement in the surveys. Québec solidaire (QS) captured 13 per cent of the vote, landing the party in fifth place overall. The Quebec Liberals, under Charles Milliard's leadership, finished in second place with their vote share holding steady at 22 per cent, a result that reflected the CAQ's erosion of support rather than any growth in Liberal backing. The approval ratings of CAQ Leader Christine Fréchette fell among Quebec residents. The departing premier dropped six percentage points among voters who viewed her as the top choice for the role, while PQ's Paul St-Pierre Plamondon added two points to stand at 26 per cent. Approximately one in five voters surveyed indicated that none of the leading party candidates would be their preferred choice for Quebec premier. Support for PQ spread across multiple regions and voter groups. The party holds the top position among French-speaking voters at 36 per cent, as well as among those aged 35 and above. Voters aged 55 and over have increasingly backed the party, a group that previously formed one of the CAQ's core bases of electoral support. Among voters between the ages of 35 and 54, the PCQ ranked second, drawing the backing of roughly one-quarter of Quebecers, while the PQ led that demographic with 32 per cent. Among voters between the ages of 18 and 34, QS leads with 25 per cent support. According to Synopsis polling data, the PQ had extended its advantage in Montreal's suburban areas to 32 per cent of voters, with the PLQ and CAQ running neck and neck in those ridings. In the Quebec City area, the PCQ holds a narrow one-point advantage over the PQ at 31 per cent support, keeping the two parties in a tight race. On the Island of Montreal, the Liberals hold 38 per cent support while QS accounts for 22 per cent. A web-based survey gathered responses from 1,000 provincial voters over four days, running from Sept. 24 through Sept. 27. Voters in Quebec are scheduled to cast their ballots on October 5. Early voting is scheduled for Sept. 27 and 28.

Quebec Election Poll: PQ Heads Toward Majority as CAQ Support Drops Sharply

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Quebec Election Poll: PQ Heads Toward Majority as CAQ Support Drops Sharply

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