Matchups for the playoff and beyond: Predicting every CFB postseason game
There was some stability at the top, but a host of upsets and key results shook up the bowl picture.
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There was some stability at the top, but a host of upsets and key results shook up the bowl picture.

In Week 10 of college football, the top teams maintained their positions, with Ohio State and Indiana securing decisive victories. However, further down the rankings, several unexpected outcomes reshaped conference standings, particularly in the ACC. Georgia Tech experienced its first defeat of the season against NC State, with the Wolfpack accumulating 583 yards of offense, including 243 on the ground. Miami also recorded a second consecutive loss, while Virginia took the lead in the ACC standings with an undefeated record in conference play. A potential ACC championship win for Virginia could position them as a contender for the College Football Playoff (CFP), though their path remains challenging.
The structure of the 12-team CFP remains consistent with last year’s format, where the five highest-ranked conference champions and the next seven highest-ranked teams qualify. This season, however, introduces a change: the four highest-ranked teams, regardless of conference championship status, will receive first-round byes. The remaining eight teams will compete in first-round matchups hosted at the campus sites of seeds five through eight. Subsequent rounds, including quarterfinals and semifinals, will take place in the traditional New Year’s Six bowl games, culminating in the national championship on January 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
Beyond the playoff, the postseason includes a 35-game bowl schedule, starting with the Cricket Celebration Bowl on December 13 in Atlanta. Projections for these matchups and the CFP bracket are updated weekly, reflecting recent game results and team performances. For the first-round CFP games, scheduled for December 19 and 20, potential pairings include North Texas at Oregon, Memphis at Georgia, Virginia at Ole Miss or Georgia, Notre Dame at Oregon or Ole Miss, and Texas Tech at BYU, based on current standings and conference outcomes.
In the ACC, the absence of an undefeated team after Georgia Tech’s loss suggests the conference may secure only one playoff bid. Virginia holds a strong position in league play, despite an earlier nonconference loss to NC State. Meanwhile, in the Big 12, BYU and Texas Tech are key contenders, with their upcoming game carrying substantial weight for conference title aspirations. In the SEC, teams like Texas A&M, Alabama, and Georgia continue to hold prominent spots in projected quarterfinal matchups across various bowl locations, including the Cotton Bowl in Arlington and the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans.
Recent performances have also influenced projections for the national championship game. Ohio State and Indiana remain frontrunners after strong showings, with Ohio State overcoming an initial slow start to defeat Penn State 38-14 and Indiana posting a 55-10 win over Maryland. Both teams face relatively manageable schedules in the coming weeks, positioning them as likely candidates for a title matchup on January 19. Ohio State’s remaining games include road and home contests before a final regular-season game against Michigan, while Indiana will play Penn State, Wisconsin, and Purdue.
The broader bowl season features a diverse lineup of games across the country, showcasing teams from various conferences. Early matchups include Jackson State versus Delaware State in the Cricket Celebration Bowl and Arizona against San Diego State in the LA Bowl. Other notable games span from the Salute to Veterans Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama, to the Sheraton Hawai’i Bowl in Honolulu, reflecting the extensive reach of college football’s postseason. These games provide opportunities for teams outside the playoff picture to conclude their seasons on a competitive note.
As the regular season progresses, weekly updates to playoff and bowl projections will continue to reflect shifts in team rankings and conference standings. With several weeks remaining, additional changes in team performances could alter the current landscape, particularly for conferences like the ACC and Big 12, where tight races persist. The focus remains on tracking results and providing accurate forecasts for the postseason, ensuring a clear picture of potential outcomes as the final games approach.
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